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Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) Stock Analysis Report

TEMTempus AI, Inc.
NASDAQ
November 11, 2025

Executive Summary

Tempus AI operates as a healthcare technology company providing next generation sequencing diagnostics and AI-powered platforms for healthcare data analysis. Strong revenue growth but negative earnings.

Full Analysis Report

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COMPANY INFORMATION
- Sector: Healthcare
- Industry: Medical - Healthcare Information Services
- Company Profile: Tempus AI, Inc. operates as a healthcare technology company providing next generation sequencing diagnostics, molecular genotyping, and other pathology testing to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, and researchers. The company offers data analytics services, clinical trial matching, and AI-powered platforms for healthcare data analysis.

SHORT-TERM TRADING (Day Trading)
- Technical Recommendation: SELL
- Short news: Stock showing strong downward momentum with recent break below key support levels
- Entry Price: 71.80
- Stop-Loss: 73.50
- Target/Exit Price: 68.50
- Risk-reward ratio: 1:2.2
- Trading Rationale: The stock has broken below the $72 support level and is trading near session lows. Recent 1-minute candles show consistent lower highs and lower lows with increasing volume on the downside. The stock has declined over 15% in the past 5 days and shows no immediate signs of reversal.

LONG-TERM INVESTMENT (1+ Years)
- Investment Recommendation: HOLD
- Investment rating: 65/100
- Current Dividend Yield: 0%
- Expected Annual Return: 15-25%
- P/E Ratio: N/A (negative earnings)
- Key Strengths:
- Strong revenue growth of 59.84% TTM and 89.57% quarterly YoY
- Large total addressable market in healthcare AI and diagnostics
- Significant institutional interest including recent purchases by Cathie Wood
- First positive EBITDA achievement showing improving financials
- Strong gross margin of 60.73% TTM
- Key Risks:
- Consistent net losses with negative EPS of -$1.182 TTM
- High debt levels with total debt/equity of 2.58x
- Negative operating and net margins
- High valuation metrics (PS ratio of 13.4x)
- High beta of 4.87 indicating extreme volatility
- Investment Rationale: Tempus AI operates in a high-growth healthcare technology segment with significant long-term potential. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth and is making progress toward profitability with improving EBITDA. However, current valuation appears stretched given ongoing losses and high debt levels. The stock is suitable for risk-tolerant investors who believe in the long-term AI healthcare thesis, but current price levels suggest waiting for better entry points or clearer path to sustained profitability.

OVERALL ASSESSMENT
- Risk Level: HIGH
- Time Horizon Preference: LONG-TERM
- Final Summary: Tempus AI represents a high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity in the rapidly evolving healthcare AI space. Short-term technicals indicate continued downward pressure, making immediate entry unattractive for traders. Long-term investors should consider the company's strong revenue growth and market position but must be prepared for significant volatility and ongoing losses. The company's progress toward profitability and institutional support provide optimism, but current valuation multiples require careful consideration. A hold rating is appropriate for existing investors, while new investors may want to wait for more attractive entry points or clearer profitability signals.

【Disclaimer】
This report is for reference only. The information provided is based on publicly available financial data and market research and does not constitute investment advice. This report does not consider the financial situation, risk tolerance, or investment objectives of any individual investor and therefore cannot be considered personalized investment advice. Investment involves risk; please invest with caution.

【Compliance Statement】
This report strictly complies with relevant laws and regulations. All analysis is based on publicly available information. Any price ranges, ratings, or recommendations mentioned in the report are for analytical reference only and do not constitute specific buy or sell guidance. Investors should make independent investment decisions based on their own circumstances and bear the corresponding investment risks.

Investment Summary

Investment Rating:
HOLD (65/100)
Price Range:$68.50-73.50
Support Level:$68.50
Resistance Level:$73.50

Key Investment Highlights

  • Strong revenue growth of 59.84% TTM and 89.57% quarterly YoY
  • Large total addressable market in healthcare AI and diagnostics
  • Significant institutional interest including recent purchases by Cathie Wood
  • First positive EBITDA achievement showing improving financials
  • Strong gross margin of 60.73% TTM

Key Risk Factors

  • Consistent net losses with negative EPS of -$1.182 TTM
  • High debt levels with total debt/equity of 2.58x
  • Negative operating and net margins
  • High valuation metrics (PS ratio of 13.4x)
  • High beta of 4.87 indicating extreme volatility

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risks.

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